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A question people ask

What is the future of universities?

The short answer

The book argues that universities return to what they were meant to be, places for discovery and for people who love learning, once they stop being the toll booth for the job market. Schools that live on tuition from students who would rather be somewhere else will have to shrink or change.

The reasoning

Begin with where the modern university came from. The research university grew out of Wilhelm von Humboldt's University of Berlin in 1810, and Johns Hopkins brought the model to America in 1876. Its job was to be a community of teachers and scholars.

Over the last century it picked up a second job. It became the sorting machine for the whole labor market. Nobody voted for that. Employers needed a way to cut a pile of applicants, the degree was handy, and the colleges were paid by the people who needed the stamp.

Now imagine the second job moving. If proof of skill gets its own door, a student who needs a credential for work has somewhere else to get one. The students who still choose a university are mostly the ones who want to be there. A hard course stops being a threat to enrollment and goes back to being the reason for the place.

You can see how people already split their reasons. In a Strada Education Network and Gallup survey, 58 percent of Americans said jobs and career were the main reason for their education. Only 23 percent said a wish to learn. The first group is the one with another option coming.

Signs of the second group are everywhere. More than 125,000 older adults take classes with no grades or credits at 125 Osher Lifelong Learning Institutes. Meanwhile, researchers on federal grants spend about 44 percent of their research time on administration, which is time a freer university could hand back to the work.

AI nudges the same way. Scripted tasks go to machines first. What's left is deep knowledge of a field, and that's what a university is built to teach.

The evidence and sources

  • The research university grew from Wilhelm von Humboldt's University of Berlin (1810); Johns Hopkins adopted the model in 1876.
  • 58 percent of Americans gave jobs and career as the main reason for their education; 23 percent said a wish to learn. Strada Education Network and Gallup, Why Higher Ed? (2018).
  • Researchers on federal grants spend about 44 percent of their research time on administration. Federal Demonstration Partnership, 2018 Faculty Workload Survey.
  • More than 125,000 older adults take classes with no grades or credits at 125 Osher Lifelong Learning Institutes. Bernard Osher Foundation.

What to do with this

If you're choosing a school, ask whether you want the community of learning, the credential, or both. Then see if the second can be earned another way, so the first doesn't have to carry the cost.

Where this falls short

This is the author's forecast, and nobody can prove a forecast. Schools that depend on tuition from students who would rather be elsewhere will have to shrink or change, and that will be hard on the people who work there.

Also asked as

  • Is college dying?
  • What was the original purpose of a university?
  • Will the liberal arts survive?

The ideas behind this answer

  • College's renaissance

    Freed from being the toll booth for the job market, the university goes back to discovery and to the people who love learning.

  • A receipt, not proof

    A credential almost anyone can buy, and almost no one can fail, isn't proof of anything. It's a receipt.

  • The second door

    Nobody has to tear the old gate down. Build a second way in beside it, based on proof of skill, and let people walk through.

  • AI means evolve faster, not give up

    AI takes the scripted busywork first and leaves the work of people who know a field deeply, so the answer is to learn faster and deeper, not to stop learning.

Related questions

Cite this page. Trenton Rich, "What is the future of universities?," Maxwell Rich Certification, maxwellrich.com/q-what-is-the-future-of-universities.html, reviewed October 18, 2026. Free to quote, copy and reuse with credit under CC BY 4.0.